Adwords Keyword Tool: Is It Accurate?

On the first week of July 2008, the Internet Marketing community received great news: the Keyword Tool in Google's AdWords started to show real numbers for search volumes instead of shaded bars.

My Inbox was flooded with messages from all the newsletters I subscribe to, announcing the revolution. One of the marketing gurus went so far as to conclude: "it probably spells the end for services like Wordtracker." Another guru couldn't curb his enthusiasm: "Holy cow! Talk about shaking up the planet!"

Jim Morris, a keyword research authority, posted the following on his nichbot.com blog: "All of a sudden - there is no longer any confusion about how many times people are searching for a certain keyword phrase on Google.com."

Jim Morris also published a screenshot of the 8 first results he got when he searched for keywords suggestions for "blogging" on AdWords Keyword Tool. The keywords are: blogging, blogs, blog, blogging software, radio blog, pink is the new blog, blog search, bad girls blog; then it shows 3 columns: Advertiser Competition, Approx Search Volume for last month, and Approx Average Search Volume.

Until July 2008, all three columns used to show a shaded bar, which was supposed to indicate the relative volumes, i.e. if the bar was completely green it supposedly indicated very high volume; half green equaled moderate volume etc. But now, the two search volume columns show actual numerical figures, while the first column, Advertiser Competition, still shows this shaded bar.

One of the keyword suggestions Jim Morris got was "radio blog." The Competition bar next to this keyword is 3/4 green, representing what looks like quite a lot of competition, right? I strongly suggest you search google.com for "radio blog." You'll be surprised to discover there is not even one ad! (Well, perhaps by now there are a couple). Neither when you use broad search nor when you use phrase; neither in the United States nor in Canada or the UK.

The same thing happened when I tried "bad girls blog." The shaded bar is painted half green, perhaps indicating moderate competition (As you can see, it is hard to know what it actually indicates. The question is: why doesn't Google reveal the real number of bidders on each keyword? Why is it a secret in the first place?) At any event, you expect some competition when the bar is half green, don't you? But again, there is not even one ad for "bad girls blog" in all the English speaking countries.

You may ask "what is the problem? Don't use Google if you don't like it." Well, the problem is that Google is not just a search engine. Google charged its advertisers over 16 billion dollars last year alone, and an advertiser must rely on the data Google provides him or her in order to set up a good campaign. If these data are extremely inaccurate, there is a good chance most AdWords advertisers are spending their money in vain.

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